San Antonio at Memphis

It's hard for most to believe that the No. 1 seeded Spurs are down three games to two to a No. 8 seed, playing arguably without their best player in Rudy Gay. The Grizzlies have been under the radar all season at 32-15 ATS vs. a winning team. They are also 14-3 against teams over 70% winning percentage, including 10-1 ATS in the second half of the season. The Grizzlies are also 20-5 ATS off a road loss in their last 25. The Spurs peaked too early and have not played well for quite some time, and were lucky to escape at home in overtime. The Spurs are playoff tested and experienced, but with that said they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 playoffs games as a road dog. Memphis has had their number all regular season, and the playoffs as well, so take Memphis for the closeout.