San Antonio at Memphis

199 points were scored in the first game in this series but that was followed by games of 180 and 189. Game four is always an intense and important game and with that usually comes defense. Overall game 4s come in UNDER the total at around a 59% clip but this game has even more of an UNDER feel to it. While Memphis averaged nearly 103 points per game at home during the regular season, they have scored just 94 per game over their last five and 93 per game in this series. San Antonio has seen the same shift. After scoring 103.3 per game in the regular season, they have managed just 95 per game over their last five and 93 per game in the playoffs. Under Popp, the Spurs are an UNDER team as a favorite and they are 54-37 UNDER after a close loss by 3 points or less. The Grizzlies have now gone UNDER in five of their last six home games and 7-3 UNDER in their last ten as a home dog. I like the UNDER here.