San Antonio at Memphis

The San Antonio Spurs have had their hands full with the Memphis Grizzlies all season long. Memphis has covered all six games these teams have played, including the first two in San Antonio. There is a reason for it, and I don't see that changing here in this one. The Grizzlies are getting a lot of points in the paint. In all six games they have outscored the Spurs in the paint by an average of 13 points per game. Give me a team at home that is scoring inside, and making the opponent have to hit a high percentage to win and I'm on them. San Antonio is also a poor playoffs underdog at 1-8 ATS in their last nine. Memphis has torn apart Western Conference teams at 37-13 ATS in their last 50. The Spurs are allowing a lot of easy ones inside, and overall they are now 13-3 to the OVER as a dog of 4.5 or less. Memphis has been picture perfect as a favorite of 4.5 or less, turning in seven straight OVERs. Play on Memphis and the OVER.