San Antonio at Memphis

Memphis is on a bit of a slide but they backed into the playoffs anyway on Minnesota's surprising loss to Seattle. They lost all four games on their road trip including a 75-97 defeat to these Spurs. But, now they are at home and deserpately need to get back to playing good basketball - for their psyche. This should be playoff-atmosphere ball and I like Memphis in this home dog spot. The Grizzlies are 10-3 ATS at home versus very good teams (outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game) over the last 3 seasons. They are also 19-7 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the same period. Furthermore, teams off off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 75-43 (63.6%) over the last 5 seasons and home underdogs off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 38-19 (67%) ATS over the last five season. Two stars on the Grizzlies to show some pride here.