This pick was released to clients on September 19, 2012 at 11:43AM ET.
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San Antonio at Los Angeles

January 28, 2007
img3:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Lakers are 19-5 at home. Here they score more and allow less than they do on the road. San Antonio is one of the league's top road teams. They do it by defense. Unlike years past, San Antonio is actually playing better defense on the road this year than at home. On the road they are allowing 89.8 ppg and it's only getting better as the season wears on. They have allowed under 90 points in four of their last seven road games. So what's going to win out here? LA's potent offense or San Antonio's defense? The oddsmakers seem to think the Spurs will dictate as they are favored here. We like it to be a relatively low scoring game and come in UNDER the total. A big part of LA's offense is their three point shooting. They hit 39% of their three's here at home. San Antonio can defend that though. The Spurs are 12-3 UNDER vs. good 3-point teams (36%+) this season. San Antonio will no doubt step up on defense tonight. They have underperformed of late having lost five of seven against the spread and two of their last three. The Spurs are 12-4 UNDER this season after failing to cover the spread in two of their last three. They'll revert to their strength here. They also are looking for revenge for a loss to these Lakers a couple of weeks ago. San Antonio is 10-1 UNDER the past three seasons revenging a loss in which they were a big favorite (7+ points).

3 units on Game Total UNDER 197 -110 (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
WIN
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