San Antonio at Indiana

These two teams are struggling along as we get into February. One surprisingly, the other - not so much. San Antonio was off and running to their typical season at 17-3, but the injuries have mounted and the wheels have fallen off. The Spurs are in the midst of a 25-game stretch playing below .500 at 12-13. The answer is found in a slumping offense that averaged 101.5 points per game in their first 20, but has dropped to 91.7 ppg over the last 25 - a full 10 points a game! The Spurs have always been committed to the defensive end and that has not changed. If anything, they have been more even more committed. The Spurs allowed 92.4 ppg in their first 20, but have been equal in their last 25 allowing 92.9 ppg, which includes 130 allowed in an OT game against Golden State. The Spurs have only allowed 100+ in one of their last 20, not counting OT! The defensive clamps have been even more impressive against the sub .500 Eastern Conference teams, where they allow just 84.8 ppg with only one team topping the 90-point mark. Indiana has some problems of their own, as they are just 4-16 over their last 20. There are only three teams among the top ten in points scored per game in the NBA with sub .500 records, and the Spurs have held opponents in those games to under 88 in three of the four games played against them or an average of 91.8 ppg. This total is considerably high especially when looking at similar games, and the way these two teams have been playing. The Pacers are 52-32 ATS over the past decade at home vs. good teams (60%+ SU). They are also 18-7 ATS the past two seasons with 2+ days of rest. We think with San Antonio's struggles, losing road record and 7-13 road ATS mark, the Pacers are also a good play.