San Antonio at Houston

There is and has been no other team in the NBA that you can blindly take as a favorite and win over 54% of the time. That is a 16 year domination by the Spurs and they have been slightly better as a road chalk over the same period. The Spurs are even better lately and they are 65-15 straight up in their last 80 regular season games overall, covering 68% of the time. The Rockets made a good move signing James Harden as he is averaging 24.7ppg in a full-time role. However, Harden rolled his ankle and is 50-50 to play in this game. If he does he will probably not be as explosive with the ball. That is a lot of points to find for the Rockets and, against an elite team, they are in trouble. The Spurs have been riding the momentum off a 10+ point win as they are 21-5-2 ATS in their last 28 following one. The Rockets are laying an egg vs. the Western Conference at 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21. Play on San Antonio.