img NBA

San Antonio at Golden State

May 12, 2013
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Spurs can play any style. They are fourth in the NBA in points scored, yet are also very underrated defensively; 11th in points allowed and 8th in field goal shooting allowed. We've seen that defense the last two games, allowing 100 and 92 points to the Warriors, both UNDER the total. San Antonio held Golden State to 39% shooting the last game. A big plus has been 6-6 guard Danny Green. Stephen Curry was 0-for-8 against Green's defense in game two, and Gregg Popovich has given Green more time as Curry was 5-for-17 in game three. San Antonio's offense is much better at home. To the UNDER, the Spurs are 10-2 in last 12 road games. Working on one day's rest, the Spurs will prefer to slow things down more, especially in the first half. Golden State is very underrated on defense; fourth in the NBA during the regular season in field goal shooting, allowing .439%. They've really turned up the defense in the postseason; on a 4-1 run UNDER the total, and the UNDER is 17-7 in the Warriors last 24 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Look for more defense and a slower pace in the first half. Play the Spurs/Warriors first half UNDER the total. 

1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 99.5 -115 (risk 1.5 to return 1.5)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
O
F
San Antonio Spurs
26
19
17
22
3
87
Golden State Warriors img
19
18
23
24
13
97
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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