San Antonio at Golden State

This one might look easy with San Antonio and the NBA's best record coming into Golden State to face a mediocre Warriors team. That may be true, but Golden State has been a giant killer at home, especially when they are a healthy dog of +5 or more, as they have turned in a sparkling 36-13 ATS mark in their last 49. They have won nearly half the games straight-up. Teams that have just lost after a long winning streak tend to have a letdown, and I would expect this to be a letdown spot for the Spurs. I’m backing Golden State to knock-off Goliath.