This pick was released to clients on April 24, 2024 at 11:35AM ET.
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San Antonio at Golden State

April 24, 2018
img10:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Golden State Warriors played a horrible Game 4, but they come home leading their opening round series vs. San Antonio 3-1. The Spurs have been one of the best home teams in the NBA this year as they are 34-9 SU, and 27-15-1 ATS. However the road has been a nightmare where they are 14-29 SU, and 16-26-1 ATS. The scoring margin at home is +7, on the road -2.4, so they have been nine points per game worse on the road. It has gotten worse down the stretch as San Antonio is 1-14 SU and 4-11 ATS on the road, losing by -8.6 ppg. The Spurs have also lost four straight playoff games on the road. Golden State is also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 playoff games after a loss when playing at home. Golden State's offense makes a lot of players go over the total when they take the court, especially at home, but the opposite has been true as Golden St. is 29-14 to the under in their last 43 playoff games on home hardwood. The possibility of a big blowout here is pretty strong, so most of the defense will be played in the first half. Take Golden State and the first half UNDER.

2 units on Golden State -11 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 99 -107 (risk 1.5 to return 2.9)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
San Antonio Spurs
20
18
27
26
91
Golden State Warriors img
22
27
30
20
99
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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