San Antonio at Denver

The Nuggets have put together an outstanding 23-4 run at home this season, but have not played all that great recently. Their last five here has seen a loss to Phoenix, a game that required OT vs Sacramento and yet another overtime decision vs New Orleans. The success at home is following the Nuggets in the pointspread and this is definitely an overlay here. The Spurs have not been an underdog of this magnitude all season against anyone. The Nuggets are also having issues dealing with overlays, a product of their success, and are now just 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 as a favorite. Spurs are not intimidated here as they have gotten the money in eight of the last 11 played in Denver.  This one is simply set to high and I'll go with San Antonio here.