San Antonio at Dallas

Dallas has lost two straight and can't afford to lose a third in a row here. They ran into the freight train called the Boston Celtics in their last game, losing by 4, despite a good game by Nowitzki and Howard. The Mavs are now in the 7th spot in the West just 1.5 games ahead of Golden State. They are now at serious risk of actually missing the playoffs, or having to face the #1 seed. The pressure is on, and we think they respond at home here. San Antonio is 28-6 at home but just 18-17 on the road, scoring 93.9 per game. Dallas' offense should be able to have enough success here to pull away. The Spurs are just 13-22 ATS away from home this year including are a horrible 1-9 ATS makr as a road dog of 6 or fewer points! Also mixed in there is a 3-11 ATS mark after two straight wins. Mavs in this one.