Sacramento at Denver

Sacramento is seventh in the NBA in scoring (118.7 points per game), Top 10 in shooting (48.3%), and 12th from long range. They prefer to run as the defense is 22nd in points surrendered and in field goal shooting allowed (48.9%), plus last at defending the 3-pointer (39.8%). The Kings are on a 6-0-1 run OVER the total after a 130-125 loss at Phoenix last night. They're also 15-7 OVER the total after a defeat, as well as on a 45-29 run OVER in the second half of the season. Denver's offense is seventh in shooting (49.1%). NBA home teams off a loss by 15+ points as a road favorite are 32-13 OVER when the total is between 220 to 229.5 points. The last two meetings between these teams have gone OVER in final scores of 123-117 and 135-106, and this shapes up as another run-and-gun game. Take Sacramento/Denver OVER the total.