Sacramento at Dallas

Dallas is beating teams by a little less than a 94-92 average, yet they are huge favorite here. The defending champs are an aging team and it's been a grueling week. Not only is this the second of a back-to-back spot, but they've been to Detroit and Boston this week. That makes this their fourth game in five nights. They have not been reliable as a big favorite, even going back to last season at 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of -11.0 or greater and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of -11.0 or greater. Dallas is a weak rebounding team and they face a young Sacramento team that is No. 9 in the NBA in rebounds behind DeMarcus Cousins, Donte Greene and J.J. Hickson. Cousins got into too much foul trouble last night and only played 18 minutes in a double-digit loss. But the Kings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points. This is a great situational spot for the young visitors against the tired big home chalk. Play the Kings.