Portland at Phoenix

The Phoenix Suns were shocked in the opener, but came back with a big 29-point win in game 2. The Suns were 32-9 at home this season and have a big advantage here. They have also been able to play their game on their home court, which is fast. This total is way off the mark with both Phoenix home games have surpassing the total. The Suns, in the last one and half years, have played to just 22 totals of less than 210, and they stand at 17-5 to the OVER in the 22 games. The Suns have covered to a 10-1-1 ATS mark in their last 12 as a home favorite of 5-10.5, losing straight-up just once. I'll go with Phoenix on the moneyline and the OVER.