Portland at Brooklyn

Portland has lost four of their last six games as they have really struggled to score. On the road this season, the Trailblazers are 2-3 ATS, getting outscored 97-101 on average. New Jersey hasn't been winning games, but they are undervalued as they are covering the number. Over their last twelve games, they have gone 3-9 SU but 8-4 ATS. Over the past two seasons, Portland is a sub-.500 team after playing a game as a home favorite. That includes 5-10 after back-to-back games as a home favorite. I like the Nets to cover this spread. I also like the OVER. This total is very low. Portland is 5-3 OVER on the road this season, thanks to bad defense (101 per game allowed). The Nets are 28-14 OVER the past three seasons after a blowlout loss by 15+ points. Meanwhile, Portland is 13-2 OVER in their last 15 road games when coming off an upset loss by 15+ points. Take the Nets and the OVER.