Portland at Miami

The Blazers are 15-21 and just 7-12 on the road and they face a team here with the best home record in the NBA. The Heat have lost just once in 17 home games. Miami is 11-5-1 ATS in those games. Last season when these teams met, Miami won both times by 9 and 10 points. The defensive discrepancy here is large with Miami allowing over 10 points per game less at home than the Blazers do on the road. Against good offensive teams like Miami (teams averaging 106+ points per game), Portland is just 5-15 ATS this season. Portland has gone UNDER its last two games, including an ugly, 117-93, loss at New York when it shot only 39.3 percent from the field before bouncing back with a 122-103 victory at Washington while holding the Wizards to 42.2 percent shooting. Miami's offense suddenly has taken a turn for the worst as it has scored 84 and 85 points its last two games for two easy UNDERS. In fact, the Heat's 84-76 win at Toronto on Thursday went UNDER by 54.5 points. Portland has gone UNDER seven of its last eight road games and five of its last seven overall after a win by at least 10 points. The Heat holds opponents to a .326 shooting percentage on 3-pointers. Take the Heat and the UNDER here.