Portland at Memphis

The Portland Trailblazers were off to a good start but had to make due with numerous injuries, and have fallen off. It has begun to show up on the defensive end. Portland, in their first 11 games on the road vs. a winning team, held those teams to 96.3 points per game. They have since faced seven winning teams, and have allowed them 105 ppg. That is a full 9 ppg worse then where this team was on the road vs. good teams. Memphis has not done a good job at home defending, allowing 101+ on average in their last seven home games. The Portland defensive woes have led to an 8-2 mark to the OVER in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Memphis has been very offensive after a big win by 10 or more, playing 7-2 to the OVER in their last nine. I'll play this one OVER the total.