Portland at Memphis

Six of the last eight meetings between these clubs has gone UNDER but this one will be different. Portland is only scoring 86.7 on the season but they've stepped it up a bit of late, taking that to 90 over their last five games. Memphis has gone the opposite direction, scoring 85 per game over their last five vs. 90 on the season. They do score 90 at home on average though and their defense has loosened of late as well (91.4 per game). Games involving two terrible free throw shooting teams (<69%) have gone OVER 44-22 (67%) the last five seasons. And, Games with a total of less than 180 with a losing road team that has covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread have gone OVER 78-37 (68%) since 1996. This total is too low. Two stars on the OVER.