Portland at Denver

Portland stayed alive with a win in Game 6, but they are a .500 road team. The Blazers are 16-30 ATS against teams with winning percentages between 60% to 70%, plus 7-17 ATS versus teams that outrebound opponents by 3+ boards per game. Rebounding will be a key tonight as Portland has struggled in the paint. Denver center Nikola Jokic is averaging 26.8 points, 14 rebounds, and 8.7 assists and teams with Paul Millsap to form a physical one-two punch up front. No. 2 seeded Denver is 39-9 straight up at home and on a 29-19 ATS run at home. Denver's defense was sixth in points allowed during the regular season and No. 1 at defending beyond the arc. They will showcase that defense early as Game 7 is for all the marbles. Denver is 108-72 UNDER the first half total at home off a road loss by 10+ points, while Portland is 26-10 UNDER the first half total as an underdog. Portland's core group has not been in a winner-take-all matchup while Denver just beat San Antonio in Game 7, 90-86. The Nuggets are 9-3-1 versus Portland, plus 22-9-1 ATS against the Northwest Division. Play Denver for a Max Play and the First Half UNDER.