Portland at Dallas

Portland has now lost seven of their last eight and stand at 0-7 on the road, so why are we behind a team that apparently can't get out of its own way? Why back a team that has dropped eight straight to the pointspread? This is when we find value on a team. For all the losing this team has done, they have only dropped three games all season by 13 points or more, and within this recent losing streak, just one of the last seven. Dallas isn't exactly firing on all cylinders yet either. They have dropped three of their last four and as a double-digit favorite have failed to cover their last three. They have only beaten one team in their last 13 games, by more than this spread, so the value is certainly there. This will be the 8th game for Dallas in 14 days, and NBA teams in that situation off a game where both teams scored 100+ are as a double-digit favorite are just 12-36 ATS! We will play Portland vs a weary, and probably unmotivated Mavericks team.