This pick was released to clients on May 11, 2022 at 1:04PM ET.
img NBA

Phoenix at Dallas

May 12, 2022
img9:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Phoenix blew out Dallas 110-80 in Game 5 and look to finish off the Mavericks, who shot only 38.0 percent on Tuesday night and scored only four points in the first six minutes of the third quarter after keeping it close in the first half. Devin Booker scored 28 points and Deandre Ayton added 20 for the Suns and the teams went UNDER for the third game in a row and they scored only 95 points in the first half. Nine of the past 13 meetings have gone UNDER, including the last four at Dallas. Luka Doncic finished with 28 points in Game 5, but couldn't come close to doing it all by himself. The Mavericks have been better defensively at home, but the Suns have the advantage in the paint and learned more how to defend the Mavs in Game 5. Dallas is 21-5 UNDER as a home underdog and 12-3 UNDER overall after losing by double digits. Three plays for you on this one: Take the first-half UNDER as a Max Play, take the full game UNDER at 1.5 units, and then take the Suns on the moneyline.

1 unit on Phoenix -125 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.8)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 103.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 211.5 -108 (risk 1.5 to return 2.89)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Suns
25
20
27
14
86
Dallas Mavericks img
28
32
34
19
113
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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