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Phoenix at San Antonio

May 9, 2010
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Phoenix pretty much wrapped up this series last game by winning game three. No NBA playoff team has ever lost a best-of-seven series when up 3-0. Knowing that, and coming off a 14-point win on this court, how can Phoenix avoid letting down a bit? It's nearly impossible. Meanwhile, San Antonio knows that they are done, but this team is full of vets with pride. They don't want to get swept so I expect a win by the Spurs here to stave off elimination, for at least one more game. This has turned out to be a bad matchup for San Antonio, but let's not forget that the Spurs are 32-13 SU and 26-17 ATS in this building, winning by 11 points per game on average. The past three seasons, they are 11-2 ATS revenging a loss as a big favorite. I like the Spurs' pride to drive them to a win and a cover here. I also like the first-half UNDER. Two of the three games thus far, including the last one here in San Antonio have gone under the first-half total. On the road this season, the Suns are 26-18 UNDER in the first half. As an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, the Suns are 14-3 UNDER this season in the first half. After a game in which they scored 110+, they are 27-17 UNDER in the first-half. And, Phoenix is 18-8 UNDER in the first-half this season on the road when facing a winning team.

3 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 104 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Suns img
19
31
22
35
107
San Antonio Spurs
25
22
24
30
101
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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