This pick was released to clients on April 12, 2015 at 10:03AM ET.
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Phoenix at San Antonio

April 12, 2015
img7:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Suns offense has never recovered from the trade-deadline deals involving guards Goran Dragic and Isaiah Thomas. They have two games left to avoid a losing season, and they played hard two games ago in a 107-104 loss at Dallas as a +9 dog. The Suns are 20-7-1 ATS following a loss of more than 10 points and 17-8 ATS in Sunday get-away day games. Phoenix won't try and push the pace, on a 25-10 run UNDER the total, including 18-6 UNDER against the Western Conference. Phoenix is 17th in the NBA in field goal shooting defense while San Antonio ranks 11th, as well as third in points allowed. The Spurs have some depth concerns as Tiago Splitter (calf) won't play. San Antonio is 6-2 UNDER the total playing on one days rest. And when these Western rivals meet, the underdog is 3-1-1 ATS and the UNDER is 4-1. Play Phoenix and the game UNDER the total.

1 unit on Phoenix +15.5 (-102) (risk 1 to return 1.98)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 200 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Suns
18
21
26
26
91
San Antonio Spurs img
20
31
25
31
107
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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