This pick was released to clients on September 13, 2012 at 6:36PM ET.
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Phoenix at Portland

November 26, 2006
img9:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is a big game for Phoenix as they attempt to top the .500 mark for the first time this season. We've backed Portland this year a few times as a home dog but this is not a good spot for them. The Blazers are 0-8 ATS as 5+ home dog. Phoenix looks like a poor road team but they have played teams that are 44-20 on the road. Portland is 1-4 at home vs good teams. Phoenix is scoring lights out (110 per game on the road) but their defense has been horrible. Portland is not the kind of team to take advantage of that poor defense. They simply won't be able to keep up with Phoenix's offensive firepower. And the Trailblazers are only 7-18 ATS the past two seasons vs. poor defensive teams (giving up 100+ per game). Phoenix here.

2 units on Phoenix -6.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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