It's not often that I back a big road favorite but I like Phoenix here. The Thunder have been a solid play this year as a big road dog, posting a 12-4 ATS mark on the road. But at home they are just 5-9 ATS. They give up 100 ppg here at home so how are they going to stay anywhere near a Suns team that is averaging 103 ppg on the season and 108 per game over their last five? Sure, the Suns defense is bad, allowing opponents to average about 3.5 ppg higher than their normal average. But the Oklahoma City offense is so pathetic that it won't matter. Maybe the Thunder score 95 in this one, but Phoenix should get 110 or more. I like the Suns in a blowout.
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