Phoenix at Minnesota

12-3 meets 1-14 = massive blowout, right? Maybe, but laying nearly double digits on the road is a tough task. This line is inflated thanks to the play of both teams. But, a slight to moderate Phoenix let down here will be hard to avoid. The Suns are off a 126 point performance and they've won four of five and eight of ten. How can they get up for this game vs. a team that has dropped 14 in a row? The Suns' high-flying offense is much more grounded on the road than at home. While averaging 118.5 per game at home, they are getting 106.7 on the road - a 12 point difference! Their defense is about 4 points worse on the road too. Minnesota gives up 110 points per game on the road, but a very respectable 99.1 at home. The Suns are just 37-60 ATS after back-to-back double digit wins over the past decade. Since last season they are 10-21 ATS after two straight wins. I like Minnesota to find a way to keep this close.