Phoenix at Los Angeles

Phoenix is building around star guard Devin Booker and rookie center Deandre Ayton, ranked #10 in the NBA in shooting as a team, and #14 from the free throw line (.775%). Three games ago Phoenix beat the Milwaukee Bucks on the road (116-114) as a +13.5 dog and the last game they were tied with the Pacers with 45.9 seconds left before Indiana scored the final five points. NBA road underdogs of 10+ points are 66-28 ATS against teams that allow 48% field goal shooting and 48 or fewer rebounds per game. The L.A. Clippers are a big favorite but not an elite defensive team, ranked just #21 in points allowed. The Clippers are expected to be without Luc Mbah a Moute (sore left knee) and Jerome Robinson (strained right foot). And L.A. Coach Doc Rivers is 30-48 ATS at home against teams that hit 46% or more of their shots. Take the points and play Phoenix.