This pick was released to clients on March 21, 2015 at 10:02AM ET.
img NBA

Phoenix at Houston

March 21, 2015
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Houston Rockets thought they would be a championship caliber team with the inside-out threat of Dwight Howard and James Harden in the lineup. That has suffered a setback as Howard has missed 37 games with various injuries, the latest a knee. Despite his lack of presence in the paint, Houston has not skipped a beat. The Rockets are 21-10 with Howard in the lineup, and 25-12 without him. His latest injury, spanning 25 games, has seen Houston go 17-8 SU and 16-9 ATS, with 10 of the last 16 going UNDER the total. Phoenix gave up on the season, moving some key players before the trade deadline, and in their last 21 games the Suns are just 8-13. The Suns are off a huge defensive effort, but they have followed a game allowing 75 points or less by going a woeful 2-8 ATS in their last 10. Meanwhile, the Rockets have been feasting at home vs. a team with a losing road record where they own an 8-1 ATS mark in their last nine. The Suns have been 20-8-1 to the UNDER in their last 29 on the road vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, and overall have played seven straight to the UNDER. The Rockets are now 11-4 to the UNDER at home in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing road record. The Suns are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings, and four of those have failed to get to the total. Play on Houston and the UNDER.

1 unit on Houston -8 (-104) (risk 1 to return 1.96)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 208.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Suns img
33
29
37
18
117
Houston Rockets
37
24
25
16
102
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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