Phoenix at Golden State

The Golden State Warriors made some personnel changes. It seemed to be working as they started the season 6-2. But, since then it has been the same old Warriors. They play little defense, and over their last 10 games the resume reveals just a 2-8 record. It's tough to back a team in the role of a favorite when they are a bad team. The Suns have always been equipped to take advantage of that, having won eight of the last ten meetings. More importantly, they have averaged 123.8ppg in doing so. That's why the Suns are 33-16 ATS the past two seasons vs. teams that allow 99+ points per game. David Lee was instrumental in the Warriors start, but sat out with an elbow infection. He's back playing, but not at full strength. I like Phoenix in this one.