This pick was released to clients on September 18, 2012 at 1:15PM ET.
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Phoenix at Detroit

December 31, 2006
img4:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It has been over two years since the Pistons have been a home underdog and this line is an over-reaction to Billups being out. Wallace is listed as probable so he should see action after fighting a stomach flu. Phoenix has been ordinary after their long winning streak came to an end. The Suns have been slowed by teams that are in the top 8 in the NBA in points allowed per game. They have scored just 102, 106, 99, 103, and 92 in five games vs. these teams, or right around 100 a game. This isn't a big surprise as we have seen them struggle in past years when facing elite competition in the playoffs. We look for Detroit to take this one personally that they are a dog on their own court, and come out breathing fire. They have not lost at home by this amount since game one of this year.

2 units on Detroit +5.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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