This pick was released to clients on June 11, 2021 at 1:14PM ET.
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Phoenix at Denver

June 11, 2021
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Denver can't wait to get home after getting blown out at Phoenix the first two games of this series. However, emotional swings are dramatic, historically in the NBA playoffs, and the Nuggets won four of the last five games in the Portland series after losing Game 1. Nikola Jokic scored 24 points and grabbed 13 rebounds on Wednesday, but he didn't get much help from his teammates. That will change as the Nuggets bounce back on their home court, and they are 4-1 ATS their last five games as home favorites (7-3 ATS the past 10 meetings at home against the Suns). Denver has gone OVER seven of its last nine games, and Game 1 barely went UNDER even though the Nuggets scored only 98 points. Phoenix is 10-2 OVER its past 12 road games and 9-3-1 OVER after a win. The Nuggets are 39-19-2 OVER their past 60 home games. Take the Nuggets for my NBA Round 2 Game of the Year and also play the OVER.

2 units on Denver -1 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total OVER 223 -108 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Suns img
37
22
31
26
116
Denver Nuggets
27
28
21
26
102
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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