Phoenix at Dallas

Does anyone really think that Phoenix has a shot in this series? I usually don't predict series results but I can't help myself here. Dallas upended the defending champions, doing it on their court in a game 7. They deserved that series as they were up 3-1 after four games. The best team won. And now the best team is going to take care of the Phoenix Suns and the league MVP to advance to the Finals. Dallas is on a mission. Phoenix struggled against the Clippers. LA is good but they are no Dallas Mavericks. Nash isn't playing MVP ball and they are going to have no answer whatsoever for Dirk Nowitzki - zero. If he can go off like he did against a great defensive team like San Antonio, imagine what he can do to a team with no defense like Phoenix. He scored 37 in the last game against the Spurs and he could have that by halftime here. Dallas is now 32-18 ATS vs. winning teams this season and 20-6 ATS vs. top-level teams that outscore their opponents by 3+ PPG. Meanwhile, with D'Antoni at the helm, Phoenix is just 4-13 ATS vs. top level teams (70%+) in late season play. Good road dogs (60%-75% SU) of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home win by 10 points or more are just 29-55 (34%) ATS when playing a team with a winning record over the past five seasons. Defense wins championships and Phoenix has none. Dallas to cover the spread here. Phoenix is averaging 110 PPG in the playoffs but they are giving up 107 per game. Dallas is playing much better defense but still scoring 102 per game (106 per game their last five). Phoenix knows that to win they just have to outscore their competiton. They don't even try to play defense anymore. This game should also sail over the high total.