This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 12:17PM ET.
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Phoenix at Dallas

December 14, 2005
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Mavs look to get back to their winning ways here, while the Suns look to stop a two game skid. The Suns have been playing well this season despite losing a couple of major players on their squad. Dallas, simply put, did not play very well against the Lakers on the defensive end, as Kobe slashed his way right through the Mavs defense. The Suns present different challenges to the Mavs, but ones they are suited to handle on the defensive end. Rebounding will play a big role here. Favorites off 2 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more are 113-64 (64%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. And, Phoenix is 4-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams that outrebound opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Dallas' offense will propel them to the win and cover. Two stars on the Mavs here.

2 units on Dallas -4.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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