Phoenix at Atlanta

Phoenix is phenomenal. They are 42-13 on the year including 21-7 at home! They have a winning ATS mark on the road and overall. So, laying 9 on the road is justified, right? Well maybe not. Let's not forget this team gives up 103.3 points per game. On the road, it climbs to 105.3 and over their past five games, it's up to 106.4. If there's anyone they let down against, it's bad teams like the Hawks. As good as Phoenix is, they are just 10-28 ATS the past three seasons vs. weak teams (40% or worse SU record). In their last six games laying this kind of number (9 or more points), they are 0-6 ATS. Meanwhile, in second-half play, the Hawks are 16-6 ATS vs. winning teams over the past two seasons. Phoenix is ripe for a let down as they are off two blowout wins by 10 over Boston and 12 over Minnesota. The Suns are just 28-48 ATS in coming off back-to-back double digit wins. Just too many points here.