This pick was released to clients on May 10, 2024 at 10:58AM ET.
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Philadelphia at Miami

May 10, 2022
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami is back home for Game 5 and surely will be more focused coming out of the gate after the 76ers shot 64% in the first half on Sunday in a 116-108 win. Philadelphia figures to cool off after shooting 54.4% for the game, and Tuesday's game will more resemble Game 4 when Miami won by 20. That game went UNDER by 33 points. The Heat will have to do better defensively against James Harden and Joel Embiid, who combined for 55 points. Jimmy Butler exploded for 40 points, including 17 in the third quarter for the Heat. Miami has covered seven of its last eight home games, and it is a slight favorite in this one. Also, Miami has won eight home games in a row straight up. The Heat are 14-3 UNDER in their last 17 playoff games as favorites, and they have stayed UNDER in five of six at home overall. The Sixers are 10-3 UNDER in their last 13 games as road underdogs, as well. Miami shot only 20% on 3-pointers in Game 4 after averaging 37.4% on the season. Take the Heat on the moneyline and the First-Half UNDER for a Max Play.

1.5 units on Miami -145 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.53)
Result:
WIN
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 107.5 -109 (risk 2 to return 3.83)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Philadelphia 76ers
19
25
22
19
85
Miami Heat img
31
25
25
39
120
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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