Philadelphia has to play again without its top defensive player, Joel Embiid. The 76ers shot just 6-of-34 from long range in Game 1, but that was an anomaly as during the regular season they were seventh in the NBA from long range (36.4%). Philadelphia's 17.6% rate from area code three in Game 1 was its second-worst of the season. Miami was No. 1 from three-point land during the season (37.9%) but also had a terrible shooting night from long range (9-of-36). Miami is 57-38 OVER the total as a home favorite, plus 25-14 OVER against teams that allow 108 points per game. The Heat is also 33-16 OVER the total at home after allowing 105 points or fewer in the last game. Play Philadelphia/Miami OVER the total.
This pick was released to clients on May 04, 2024 at 10:35AM ET.
NBA
Philadelphia at Miami
May 4, 2022
7:30 PM Eastern
0.5 unit on Game Total OVER 207.5 -103 (risk 0.5 to return 0.99)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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