This pick was released to clients on May 02, 2024 at 11:57AM ET.
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Philadelphia at Miami

May 2, 2022
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Philadelphia will have to play without Joel Embiid, who suffered an orbital fracture in Game 6 of the first round. It is common, however, for teams to rally around an injured player and overachieve for at least one game, and the 76ers are getting about 3 1/2 more points than they normally would with Embiid in the lineup. The Sixers shot 58 percent against Toronto on Thursday with Embiid scoring 33 points and Tyrese Maxey adding 25 points and James Harden contributed 22. Also, the 76ers held the Raptors to 39 percent shooting and that kind of defense will keep tonight's game close. Philadelphia has stayed UNDER four of its last five games and Miami has gone UNDER its last five in a row, including the last two against Atlanta that stayed UNDER by an average of 24.3 points. Four of the last five meetings have gone UNDER and the Sixers have covered five straight when playing with at least three days rest. Philly is also 7-2 ATS as road underdogs. The Heat are 13-3 UNDER their past 16 playoff games as favorites. Play the 76ers and the UNDER.

1 unit on Philadelphia +8 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 209 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Philadelphia 76ers
22
29
21
20
92
Miami Heat img
30
20
30
26
106
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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