Philadelphia at Miami

The Heat are a losing team that has lost 8 of 12 and yet they are laying 8 points here. It's too much. They have really struggled to cover the number vs. teams like Philly that like the long ball. Miami is just 1-8 ATS this season at home vs. teams that attempt 18+ three-pointers per game (Philly averages 24 attempts per game). Also, since the arrival of Eric Spoelstra, the Heat are 12-256 ATS at home vs. bad defensive teams like the Sixers (teams allowing 103+ points per game). And, Miami is winless against the spread in their last eight games following a win. Take the generous points on Philly.