img NBA

Philadelphia at Los Angeles

March 3, 2008
img10:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Clippers have lost five straight, covering only a game agaisnt Denver in which the Nuggets just let the Clippers score every time down the court. Outside of that one game, the Clips have been beaten by an average score of 81 - 101 over this span. Now they are expected to keep it close with Philly. We're not buying it. The Sixers have had their trouble on defense on the road this year, but right now their offense is clicking. They are averaging 106.8 per game over their last six. LA will really struggle to keep up here. The Sixers are 18-8 ATS this season and last in post All-Star play vs. teams that allow 100+ points per game. Philadelphia hits the board, outrebound opponents by 5 per game. The Clips are just 5-16 ATS the past two seasons vs. such physical teams (those outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game). Throw in the fact that LA is 10-21 ATS the past two seasons as a home dog (including 3-12 as a small dog of 3 or less) and we have a play on the 76ers here. 

3 units on Philadelphia -2.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
1
2
3
4
T
Philadelphia 76ers
25
29
19
33
106
Los Angeles Clippers
21
21
17
21
80
odds odds
 
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