Philadelphia at Denver

This is simply a bad line on the total. The Nuggets are capable of putting a 120 on anyone on any given night. They have played to very few totals under 200 the last 3+ years, and when they have, it has been money to play them over. The last 3+ years when they have played to a total of fewer than 200 at home the OVER has been 26-12. Have these teams changed so much that the last time they played in late March of last year the total was set at 223? That one produced 228 points and an OVER. The Nuggets have also been 40-19-1 as a home favorite of 5-10.5 in their last 60, and these teams have played OVER 71.4% of the time in their last eight years when playing in Denver. The OVER gets the call here.