Orlando at Sacramento

The Orlando Magic is not the same team without Dwight Howard, and they can't afford to be without Jameer Nelson who has missed seven games with injuries. The Magic are just 1-6 in the seven games that Nelson has missed and are just 6-5 with him on the court. He will be playing tonight, and the oddsmakers have not adjusted properly. The Kings were a poor team a year ago, and at 5-12 they continue to be poor again this year. They don't commit to the defensive end and their last 13 opponents have tallied 97 points or more, and 108 points per game in their last two. The Magic has been 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 vs. the Pacific, while the Kings are a dreadful 5-16 ATS in their last 21 at home. Make your play on Orlando in this one.