Orlando at Portland

The Trailblazers have come back down to earth after their scorching start to the season. In their last six games, Portland is just 2-4 straight-up. In their last eleven games, they have covered the (inflated) number just twice. This team is still a bit overrated and as such we get some value fading them as a double-digit favorite. On the season, Portland is just 10-12 ATS when laying more than 3 points. The reality is that they just don't have the defense to cover as a favorite as they are allowing 103.2 per game on the season (106.4 per game over their last five). Dating back to last season, the Magic are 17-7 ATS as a double-digit dog including 9-1 ATS as road dog of more than 12 points. Take the points with the Magic.