Orlando at Atlanta

The Atlanta Hawks have split their first eight games, and no doubt miss the offense of Josh Johnson. Atlanta has scored 89 points or less in five of their last six games. Orlando is certainly going to have problems without the big guy in the middle, and have extended problems dealing with injury issues. The problem I see here is a favorite that is struggling for offensive continuity and a lack of a go-to player when things go sour as a double-digit favorite. Orlando has not been a dog of this size all season despite playing better teams, so this one is truly inflated. The Magic have been the best team rebounding from a 10+ point loss at 36-14-2 ATS in their last 52, and the Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five at home. Play on Orlando.