Oklahoma City at Utah

We cashed with another big favorite yesterday with Washington -14. So, we are not going to shy away from this one, even though the line is -19.5. Yes, it's a monster line but right now these big favorites are winning as double-digit chalk is hitting 65% ATS in the Association since the All-Star break! It doesn't get much better than Utah at home. They rarely lose here but happen to be off a rare home loss to the Lakers on Thursday. It was their first home loss in 20 games and we think they come back with a vengeance here, taking out frustrations vs. a helpless Seattle team. Seattle has quit on the season as demonstrated by their ten straight losses. They have actually lose 14 of their last 15 games, giving up 117.9 points per game on average over that span. In the past week and a half they have lost three games by more than this spread (25 to LA, 52 to Denver and 29 to Boston). Utah has won by an average of 12.4 per game here at home this season so against this Sonics team, 20+ is not only reasonable, but expected. The Jazz are 22-10 ATS as a home favorite this season and 7-0 ATS since the All Star break vs. teams that allow 103+ ppg. They are also 15-4 ATS the past three seasons off an upset home loss so we like them a lot here.