Oklahoma City at Utah

The Utah Jazz took over home court advantage with a win in Oklahoma City in Game 2. Three of the remaining five games will be played in Utah. The first round history shows that a team that plays the first two at home and wins Game 1, but loses Game 2, is just 4-12 SU in Game 3. Utah has a tremendous home court advantage with the highest altitude of any NBA venue, and against teams seeded fourth or worse, they own a 10-4-1 ATS record at home, and are 12-3 SU. Utah is also 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games vs. high-scoring teams like OKC (teams averaging 106+ per game). The Thunder have dropped six straight road playoff games, and Utah is in a strong playoff spot here. Oklahoma City is also 17-29 ATS this season vs. good three-point shooting teams like Utah (teams hitting over 35% from beyond the arc). And, OKC is 5-21 ATS this season when revenging a loss as a favorite. Home favorites from -3.5 to -9.5 that have accumulated an ATS margin in their last 5 games of 30 points (momentum), and it is a game between a pait of marginal winning teams (.510-.600), have gone 60-28 ATS, including 4-1 ATS in the playoffs. Play Utah for my NBA Playoffs Rd. 1 Game of the Year.