Oklahoma City at San Antonio

The way the San Antonio Spurs played this season as the #1 seed, and the way they dismantled the Portland Trailblazers by winning four games by a total of 78 points, it would appear they are onto something special. That seems even more logical as the Thunder have to play without Serge Ibaka. That should mean strong team defense as they try and protect the rim, and a team losing a key player seem to make a strong effort in the first game after the injury, and I would expect no less from the Thunder in this one. San Antonio finds themselves in a third round historical debacle. Teams playing as the #1 seed in round three, as a home favorite, are a poor 7-19 ATS the last 10 years. And the UNDER has prevailed to the tune of 17-8-1, as well. Looking at the Game One results, the home favorite numbers are even worse, and the UNDER is also even better. The Thunder have to fill a void, particularly on the defensive end of the floor, and the focus will carry them here. The Spurs have been challenged against strong road teams at home where they own a 1-5 ATS mark in their last six vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The Thunder is 10-1- ATS in the last 12 meetings, and the UNDER has prevailed in six of the last eight. Make the play on Oklahoma City and the UNDER.