Oklahoma City at Phoenix

The public loves teams that can score, and the oddsmakers are certainly aware of this, so when Phoenix takes the court expect line value on the other side. The pointspreads are always inflated against the weaker teams. Phoenix has faced double-digit spreads to conquer 66 times in the last 3+ years, since they have become the scoring delight of the NBA. They stand at 25-41 ATS in these 66, for a value-laden 37.9% if you go against them. Seattle has played dramatically better of late. The Sonics could not get out of their own way early on as they got off to a 2-14 start with seven of those 14 losses by 14 points or more. They have really adjusted to life without Ray Allen and have played to a respectable 7-8 record since. They are also staying in games, as they have dropped just two of the 15 games by 14 or more points. This is a serious, but typical overlay on the part of the oddsmakers, and the public just seems to want to play Phoenix no matter how large the spread. We see the value on the other side here.