Oklahoma City at Miami

The series has turned with Miami getting a split in Oklahoma City and now comes home for Game three. What has turned it around are two things: physical play and defense. Oklahoma City is more finesse, with their youth and athleticism. Miami is more of a physical and defensive team in the 2011 and 2012 playoffs. Miami has Udonis Haslem and the unstoppable LeBron James as their frontcourt physical players, while the Thunder has just Kendrick Perkins -- and he's an offensive liability who sits for significant stretches. Miami went 28-5 at home during the regular season and 7-2 in the playoffs. Miami won the battle of the boards in Game two and held the Thunder to 43% shooting. They now have home court where they play their best defense. Getting Chris Bosh back as a starter was huge as he had 16 points and 15 rebounds in Game three. And, OKC's weak spot (three-point shooting defense) is being exploited by Miami, shooting eight of 19 (42%) and six of 14 (43%) in the first two games. Oklahoma City is just 2-3 straight up its last five road games in the playoffs and for the first time in a while the pressure is on the kids after blowing their home court edge. The value in Game three is the Miami Heat on the money-line (-190).