Oklahoma City at Miami

The Thunder are bad, yes. But the betting public continues to lose by fading them. They are 2-18 overall straight-up but have a winning ATS record. On the road, they are 1-9 SU but 7-3 ATS! In their last five games overall they are 1-4 SU but 4-1 ATS. Sense a pattern? They lose but they cover the large numbers they are continually given. I expect Miami to take a breath here and not expend too much energy. They'll get an easy win, but will it won't come by double-digits. Let's not forget that Miami is just 7-18 ATS the past two seasons as a favorite including a 5-15 mark at home. I'll take Oklahoma City and the bushel of points here.